Monday, 28 December 2009

Bocamix too big

Trying again to get a value bet run well. Dirar looks interesting in a Leopardstown handicap hurdle and the Finale hurdle at Chepstow looks to have a value angle.

2:45 Chepstow:
Back Bocamix EW(12-1 generally)

3:10 Leopardstown:
Back Dirar(7-1 generally)

Saturday, 26 December 2009

Fosters Cross too big

At 14-1 with Paddy Power, Fosters Cross is just too big for the Irish novice chase. Sizing Europe is a worthy favourite and it's a competitive affair, but Fosters Cross has shown useful form and is worth a bet:
2:20 Leopardstown
Back Fosters Cross

It's an Irish flavour today and a short-price double is worth having on :
1:20 Leopardstown - Alaivan
&
2:30 Kempton - Go Native

They are probably the best horses in their respective races by some way, and yes that means that I believe Binocular is over-rated...

Tuesday, 22 December 2009

Make it a Merri' Xmas

Not a particularly big price, but there seems to be a Christmas bonus plotted in the 3:25 Southwell:
Back Merrion Tiger(around 2-1)

A Fibresand specialist who came back to form with a good win last time. Back in Class 6, there's no reason to think he won't follow up, having won off a higher mark in the past.

Sunday, 20 December 2009

Time to Close 'Brown'

The first post of this blog was a buy on Sporting's spread of Brown's days as premier. It is now time to close out the position at 1035. Having bought at 955, that's a healthy profit of +80, and there's whispers of a March general election.
Close (sell at 1035)

Might be some decent bets over the Xmas period, if the meetings all go ahead.

Tuesday, 1 December 2009

Pandorama too big

1:20 Fairyhouse:
Back Pandorama(5-1)

In the rescheduled 1:20 at Fairyhouse on Wednesday, Pandorama is a good price at 5-1. As a hurdler, only beaten by Mikael D'Haguenet and bested by Cousin Vinny(until the final flight). Showed a good engine to do well in his chase debut. Jumped left, and lost ground to Clan Tara, but battled back well to win with more in hand than the neck margin implies.

Even with the worry about his leftward jumping, his engine and heavy ground conditions mean he's too big at 5-1.